Bayes' theorem & base rates

About this app

A mosaic of prevalence × sensitivity/specificity: why a positive test for a rare disease is often no reason to panic. The false-positive area beats the hit area — posterior P(D∣+) live, the base-rate fallacy made visible.

Subject: Statistics

More from Statistics

• Anscombe's quartet
• Bias-variance / overfitting
• Law of large numbers
• Hypothesis test & p-value
• Confidence interval
• Measures of location & spread
• Measures of location & spread 2.0
• Logistic regression

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